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Wednesday, May 10, 2006

LET'S TRY THIS AGAIN

OK, so we backdoored a 3-3 MLB day yesterday. I was going to go off on the lame way we lost a couple of those but I realized that I should be picking winners that aren’t so close so as to get messed up by dumb moves. While that is true I still am going to complain a little. A bunch of plays today, hopefully they are stronger- Mets/Phillies under 8.5; Brewers -115; Astros -110; Dogers/Astros over 7.5; Tigers -117; Really not too much deviation from yesterday- I am somewhat stubborn.

Mets/Phillies under
Glavine is solid and the Phillies are hitting .240 with a .730 OPS versus lefties. Glavine wasn’t great last year vs. Philly but has only allowed 2 HRs and sports a 1.92 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 41/14 K/BB. Lidle has been pretty good against Mets hitters. The 4th and 7th best bullpens hopefully will not mess it up again, under 8.5.

Milwaukee:
The Brewers and Mr. Capuano should beat Chan Ho Park and the Padres who are hitting .213 vs. lefties with a .630 OPS and only 2 HRs. Capuano is hot though he has trouble with Cameron. Park isn’t that bad and they do have the 2nd best bullpen. I like the Brewers' closer though and they should get him the ball and the win.

Houston:
The Astros and Buckholtz should beat the Dodgers and Tomko. Buckholtz has had 4 straight solid outings and has a .81 WHIP. Tomko has had 3 straight solid outings himself but against weak opponents. Bagwell is 13-37 with 6 HRs against Tomko and the Astros have hit 12 HRs in 189 AB versus him. Both bullpens are weak and we are going over the 7.5 as well as taking the Astros.

Detroit:
Tigers -117. Taking the Tigers and Verlander who has had 4 straight good starts but not against big opponents. Detroit blew the game yesterday and did have the 3rd best bullpen but I have some faith. Orioles go with Rodrigo Lopez who I like to fade. The Orioles pen is weak and Detroit is still 12-7 on the road.

Last night, Frank Rodney comes in for Detroit with a 6-4 lead in the 7th and proceeds to allow two homeruns. Granted they were of the solo variety but I still can’t see why he goes back out there in the 8th. Then he walks the leadoff man- lets see where that goes. With two outs another runner reaches on an error and then Rodney allows a single and the go ahead and ultimately winning run scores. Pathetic.

The Mets’ tied in the bottom of the ninth bring in Aaron Heilman. Gets a groundout and a flyout then allows a triple. Then hits Jimmy Rollins- which I didn’t see but I assume was lucky because if Rollins gets out of the way then it’s a wild pitch and game over. Utley is walked and then we get to Bobby Abreu- to me this seems like a spot for your closer. Heilman actually commits a throwing error- are you serious? I think that counts as an unearned run.

Hudson Street up 6-3 in the 9th hits the leadoff batter. Wow. He gets a groundout, allows a double, gets a strikeout and then allows another double. Tying run on second with two out...Street gets Glauss to popup with two outs for the save.

- nutlow

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