FOLLOWING AN 8-3 DAY
-We faded the Duke yesterday and now it's time to fade the Marquis. He has had three consecutive poor outings including starts against the Cubs and Nationals. I think there is decent value with the Rockies at around +130 as the Rockies on the road has been the most profitable home/road split of any team in the majors. Also, with two of the three top bullpens in the majors, under 9 is the play. -Halladay is 11-1 in night games over the last two years and the Angels aren't scoring too much. The Cubs had a monster offensive output yesterday of three runs but that wasn't enough. Maddux goes today and is generally their best chance at a victory; still I'd take the Padres at -120. San Diego has won eight in a row and the Cubs have lost six in a row... hey, if I lose then what can I say, I still think the trend is your friend. -Seattle hits .211 versus lefties. Play on Tampa Bay and Casey Fossum. -Minnesota hits .223 vs lefties. Texas is going at around -150 though, a light play. -Houston hits .325 vs lefties and has the highest OPS vs lefties in the majors. Oswalt should bring this one in. He is 1-11 against the moneyline in road games in May since 1997 but that is just a bit too random to sway my pick. Houston and San Francisco have two of the three worst bullpens in the majors so I'd take over the 7.5. - nutlow |
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