When ‘Cats are Dogs The Nets are 2-4 ATS when giving 10 or more this year but the Bobcats are 6-9-1 ATS on the road when getting 10 or more points… which probably means that they generally deserve to be big dogs in general. The Bobcats always seem to have three guys who are injured- and often it is a different group of three- yet they still provide a steady stream of young talent off the bench. They play well enough to win but never actually do. In fact, they have covered 39 games this year but only won 21 SU. The Bobcats can run and are very athletic. They are 6-11 SU in games with totals over 200 and while the total is only 192 tonight, there is a chance that this turns into an open-court game. The big one tonight- Pistons at Heat The Pistons are 1-7-1 ATS since 3/1 The Heat are 3-8 ATS at home in their last 11 games The Heat should be hurt without the presence of Mourning though they are 8-4 this year without him. Jason Williams’ absence might be a net positive for the Heat as Wade will have to have the ball in his hands more. The Heat are 12-6 SU without Williams this season. The Heat are 1-4 ATS and SU when the line is between 2 and -2. The Pistons are 2-3 in this scenario including three straight loses, the last one a 100-98 loss at Miami. This one is all about Detroit. The Pistons are 6-2 SU when playing a team that they lost to in the previous game this season. Kobe returns to the scene of the (non)- crime The Lakers are 1-5 OU against the Nuggets in their last 6 meetings. The total is currently 205, which isn’t a reduction when compared to the two teams’ previous meetings. The Nuggets are an overish team at home at 24-13 OU, including 6 straight. The Nugs have covered 6 of their last 7 at home ATS. During this time they are shooting 49.7% from the field and 44.2% from the 3-point line. I guess the Nuggets are the play. |
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fyi, here's Ben Burns' analysis:
Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets Game Time: 4/6/2006 10:35:00 PM
Prediction: Denver Nuggets
Reason: I'm playing on DENVER. In addition to trying to snap out of their current funk, the Nuggets will be attempting to avenge a pair of earlier losses to the Lakers. LA has been playing well lately. However, most of their recent wins have come at home and the Lakers remain a poor 7-12 their past 19 road games. Its worth noting that 10 of those 12 road losses came by a minimum of six points. The Lakers are also 8-13 ATS (2-3 ATS this season) when playing with three or more day's rest, 7-17 ATS the last 24 times that they faced a team which allows 99 or more points per game and 9-16 ATS their past 25 April games.
Additionally, the Lakers are 5-7 ATS the last 12 times they faced a team with a winning record and 54-78 ATS (40.9%) against winning teams the past three seasons. The Nuggets, on the other hand, are 6-4 ATS their last 10 games against winning teams and 70-53 (56.9%) against winning teams the past three seasons. Its also worth mentioning that the Nuggets have tomorrow off while the Lakers play a big game at Phoenix. Look for an inspired effort from the Nuggets as they avenge the November losses and improve to 5-1 ATS the last six times they hosted the Lakers.