Very Trendy

There are some more opportunities to lose money on the hardwood tonight. Hawks +11.5 at Nets (186) The Hawks are 11-5 ATS, 6-10 OU and 4-12 SU when getting more than 9.5 points. This includes 5 straight ATS and 9 of 10 ATS. Since they have won 1/4 of these games straight up, the +665 moneyline looks good... even though the Nets have won 12 in a row and can't possibly lose- that's when they do lose, right? The Hawks under is helped by a strong trend that continues with teams playing each other for the second time in a short period. The OU is 21-43 when two teams are playing each other for the second time in 7 or less days! The Nets are 29-43 OU this season though only 16-19 OU at home. Rockets +5 at Sonics (202) The Rockets/Sonics game also meets this condition. While one had to be crazy at one point to take the under in a Sonics home game, that is no longer the case. With the Rockets in town, 202 is a fairly high number. Celtics -2 at Raptors (209) The Raptors are 14-7-2 ATS at home since New Year's... and I don't remember when Boston became such a good team- Take the Raptors and 2 points. Kings +6.5 at Mavericks (192) The Kings are 10-15 OU on the road since January 1st. During that time, the Mavs are 6-16 OU at home, 20-2 SU and 13-9 ATS. So the Mavericks win at home but don't necessarily cover. OU's in the range of 192 (Not sure how people figure out what range to use, but I am using 187-197) are 1-7 OU for the Mavs at home during this period. I'm taking the Kings and the under. Pacers +3.5 at Bulls (185) The Pacers are 12-23-1 OU on the road while the Bulls are 20-16 OU and 15-21 ATS at home. The Bulls win and go over at home when they hit 3-pointers. Indiana however, is 3rd best in the league in 3-point defense both on the road and overall, allowing 4.3 3-pointers per game. The Bulls average 6.8 made 3-pointers at home. It is hard to take the Bulls and give points to anybody but they seem to do ok as favorites. When the Bulls make 4 or fewer three's they are 6-12 ATS and 5-13 OU, 2-7 ATS and 3-6 OU at home. The Bulls are 16-8 OU when they make 6 or more 3-pointers. I'll take the under here. Knicks +11.5 at Wizards (215) Another nice little trend is home teams on two days rest versus opponents on one days rest. This season, the home team is 55-35-4 ATS (37-11-3 since New Year's) and 56-38 OU. The Wiz should blow out this team though I'll pass on the total. -I expect some harsh words from Farfel on these picks.