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Saturday, April 29, 2006

Ship It!

I was hot this year with NBA over/unders and looking forward to next year.

My wonder is, what process is optimal to determine next year's selections?

For this year, I examined prior year data, read every preview magazine I could as well as local articles, looked at team schedules, and went with my gut feelings. 5 picks ended up being unders, 5 overs.

In preparing for next year, I'm planning to do the same things - research, research, and more research. I'll speak with friends who know a bit about their hometown teams - the Lion Tamer and Toddy follow the Hawks, my cousin Richard knows the Knicks and the NBA, nutlow has a decent command of most teams, more so the Eastern Conference.

Once the lines are released - around October 20, I guesstimate - I'll check each sportsbook for any variance.

I'm thinking of using TradeSports if that's possible. I would buy the Nets to win over 47 games, for example, then have the opportunity to sell them for more than 47 to another bidder, or less, depending on their season to-date performance.

The advantage of TradeSports is that it would allow me to exit pending wagers rather than conventional sportsbooks which are strict no-refund.

Thoughts?

   - farfel

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