BIG MONEY MOVES LINE
Large sums of cash came flooding in from the Midwest and moved lines on the Nash MVP proposition wager according to a Bodog spokesperson… no seriously, my $100 bet at 4-1 moved it to 7-2 and the guy told me if I wanted to put another $100 down he would move it to 3-1. Wow. Good news is that there is still some left for you guy(s) at 3-1 Nash has good value here. Buehrle vs Santana- this should be hott. Santana had two monster years with WHIPs under 1.00 and BAA hovering around .200 before starting out slowly this year. In 5 games vs. the Sox last year he was 4-0 with a .92 ERA. That is pretty good. Buehrle has had back-to-back 8 inning outings… In 2005 he was 10-2 with a 2.48 ERA at home and a 6-6 record on the road with 3.86 ERA. Sox are -115 to -120 and the over/under is 7.5. This should be a pitchers duel but I would like to see 8 before committing to the under. Angels +132: Lackey is 6-1 lifetime against Oakland including a 3-1 mark last year with a 2.93 ERA. Also he was 9-2 on the road compared to 5-3 at home. Angels have some value here, Harden is pretty sweet but Oakland’s bullpen is kind of weak. From the start of last season through last week, the Angels were great bets in the first game of each series with each successive game being less profitable. No, it’s true: Angels 44-18 first game of series Angels 31-29 second game Angels 27-28 third game Angels 4-5 fourth game The Cardinals, Indians and Mets all had similar trends with wins and losses as well as moneylines. I am not sure what the reason is for this trend, perhaps weak bullpens that get more tired as the series progresses? I guess it could also mean nothing- but that would leave us without an advantage so I don’t really want to believe that. Those looking to commemorate the centennial of the 1906 Chicago Cubs versus White Sox World Series may have to wait another 100 years. Derrek Lee is out for a couple months with a broken hand, The Cubs probably tried to digest this on their day off and may be pumped to show they can play without him… but they probably can’t. The Cards are 27-11 since the start of last year with Mulder on the bump. The Cubs swept the Cards in a 3-game series earlier this year but Mulder didn’t see action. Lee is actually 11-15 lifetime against Mulder but no one else has had a lot of success against him. The Cubs are throwing Jerome Williams, Albert Pujols is 1-12 lifetime against Williams (with 1 HR) and Edmonds is 1-13. Interesting. Nobody believes that Detroit is for reals. At 9-7 (7-2 on the road) they are even-money at Seattle. And while Detroit starter Mike Maroth will probably always be known for being a 20-game loser, he is off to a very good start. Washburn is tough for Seattle but their bullpen has struggled and Eddie Guardado is getting hammered. - nutlow |
comments on "BIG MONEY MOVES LINE"